Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.005316 0.005864 0.006458 0.007150 0.007938 0.008810 0.009852
2025-09-28 0.004338 0.005073 0.005931 0.007013 0.008355 0.009981 0.012125
2025-10-05 0.003833 0.004658 0.005668 0.007014 0.008787 0.011081 0.014339
2025-10-12 0.003528 0.004422 0.005561 0.007148 0.009347 0.012359 0.016927
2025-10-19 0.003214 0.004128 0.005330 0.007067 0.009578 0.013185 0.018974
2025-10-26 0.002968 0.003894 0.005146 0.007014 0.009818 0.014026 0.021148
2025-11-02 0.002744 0.003665 0.004942 0.006901 0.009941 0.014686 0.023116
2025-11-09 0.002596 0.003529 0.004852 0.006939 0.010287 0.015724 0.025879
2025-11-16 0.002437 0.003362 0.004702 0.006866 0.010440 0.016453 0.028204
2025-11-23 0.002272 0.003175 0.004505 0.006698 0.010412 0.016860 0.029985
2025-11-30 0.002182 0.003092 0.004459 0.006763 0.010781 0.018008 0.033427
2025-12-07 0.002137 0.003074 0.004509 0.006990 0.011452 0.019798 0.038574
2025-12-14 0.002009 0.002923 0.004345 0.006851 0.011470 0.020384 0.041324
2025-12-21 0.001893 0.002785 0.004194 0.006723 0.011500 0.021011 0.044352
2025-12-28 0.001813 0.002698 0.004120 0.006725 0.011773 0.022175 0.048977
2026-01-04 0.001762 0.002657 0.004117 0.006851 0.012305 0.023974 0.055741
2026-01-11 0.001681 0.002558 0.004010 0.006775 0.012415 0.024850 0.060247
2026-01-18 0.001610 0.002474 0.003922 0.006725 0.012571 0.025857 0.065437
2026-01-25 0.001536 0.002379 0.003809 0.006617 0.012592 0.026543 0.069862
2026-02-01 0.001489 0.002328 0.003771 0.006653 0.012930 0.028068 0.077505
2026-02-08 0.001430 0.002253 0.003684 0.006584 0.013023 0.028980 0.083407
2026-02-15 0.001361 0.002159 0.003557 0.006424 0.012891 0.029282 0.087244
2026-02-22 0.001328 0.002125 0.003539 0.006486 0.013287 0.031088 0.097470